Well put Dan but, (and there is always a but...lol)
1. Since you and Peter both bring up advertising budget, could you tell me what happens to advertising rates during the Superbowl? How about the Oscars and so on? Does Apple pay the same ad rate to advertise in Macworld as it does in Time Magazine?
It is directly correlated to the number of viewers... lets boil it down to a simple leaflet hand out.. if you print more leaflets, you will reach more people but your final cost goes up...but then again, your cost per leaflet drops... it is the same concept here.
2. As I clearly said... the attendance for "General purpose" shows have declined. But attendances for targeted shows have gone up. See the link below and you may find it interesting... Just because some big names are fading it doesnt mean the rest of the industry is slumping... taking out the 9/11 factor for 2002 you will see that the interest has been on a steady rise.
http://www.cs.ucsb.e...oth/conf/stats/ You also dont have to go too far.. look at the gaming industry and you will see the attendance for those shows has skyrocketed!
3. There is a divergence here between the Apples, Adobes, Microsofts of this world and smaller developers...the problem with MacWorld is that the target audience wants to see the Apples and Adobes foremost and the right forum for these companies is major world-cities like NYC. So the smaller developer has to pay to play if they want the same exposure in this league. If the developer doesnt see it this way than the whole focus of the show needs to reflect that. This of course was a big communication failure of the Macworld Expo team and I truly believe the marketing blunders of the Expo team (mostly planning and strategy) over the years contributed to its demise greatly. IMHO
The show should have never left Boston but once it did it needed to stay where it was. The attempt to change the venue several years back was also not translated to the general public well leaving many people disappointed and bewildered as to what had happened to their beloved MacWorld Expo. The marketing team executed two critical flawed strategy followed by the death nail to move the show back to Boston.
While I am not exposed to any behind the scenes data, I would have to boldly speculate that someone on the expo side may have had a clash of strategy with someone on the Apple side. While I can see why how justified someone from MW may have been, overruling someone from Apple was not a good move.
I am saddened greatly by what happened to MacWorld-Expo-Northeast but cant say I didnt see it coming! Sadly, I still think the show can be revived and brought back to lifeonly if the people in charge would vacate their seat!
All of this aside, your #3 statement clearly states that in this business you get what you pay for therefore just because you get a whole bunch more for your dollar in NYC, it doesnt make it anymore expensive than say BostonGetting priced out of a deal is different than the deal being too expensive!
In year's past Apple's name and MacWorld was synonymous. I think Steve Jobs was brilliant in backing away as he could see the possibility that a demise in MacWorld Expo may (just may) correlate (or be viewed as) the demise of the Mac!
Best
Sean